The Quantum Threat Is Imminent
Encryption Breakdown
Current public-key encryption will be rendered obsolete by quantum computers. All data secured with RSA, ECC, or DH is at immediate risk of decryption.
SEVERITY
National Security
Classified communications, intelligence operations, and defense systems currently protected by classical encryption will be vulnerable to quantum attacks.
SEVERITY
Critical Infrastructure
Power grids, telecommunications, banking systems, and other critical infrastructure will face new vulnerabilities when quantum decryption becomes viable.
SEVERITY
Quantum Computing Milestones & Projected Threats
2023
Quantum Advantage Achieved
First demonstrations of quantum computers outperforming classical supercomputers in specific computational tasks.
2025
Large-Scale NISQ Quantum Systems
Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) systems reach sufficient scale to begin threatening some cryptographic systems.
2027
First RSA-2048 Break
Projected date when the first quantum computer capable of breaking RSA-2048 encryption will be operational in classified environments.
2030
Widespread Quantum Decryption
Quantum computing capabilities become sufficiently advanced and available to pose a widespread threat to classical encryption.